Trident
CrowdMood Trident
Six prongs. One unpublished overlay. The reason to come back is whether crude is shouting while Nasdaq is mute — the oil-tight, duration-pain world in the thesis.
Trident
CrowdMood Trident is a proprietary overlay on Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, WTI, gold, and euro FX. We publish stance and a sample track — not the recipe. Research, not a ticket.
Dow
LongLast · 3 bars since last turn
- 2Y +28.0% Buy & hold +24.4% Excess +3.6%
- 1Y +23.1% Buy & hold +17.5% Excess +5.6%
- 6M +11.4% Buy & hold +11.2% Excess +0.2%
- 3M +3.4% Buy & hold +1.2% Excess +2.2%
- 1M -0.3% Buy & hold -1.9% Excess +1.6%
S&P 500
LongLast · 33 bars since last turn
- 2Y +23.4% Buy & hold +26.9% Excess -3.5%
- 1Y +7.9% Buy & hold +16.1% Excess -8.2%
- 6M +2.7% Buy & hold +9.6% Excess -6.9%
- 3M -1.8% Buy & hold -0.3% Excess -1.5%
- 1M -2.6% Buy & hold -2.6% Excess 0.0%
Nasdaq 100
LongLast · 31 bars since last turn
- 2Y +39.8% Buy & hold +41.4% Excess -1.6%
- 1Y +14.2% Buy & hold +18.6% Excess -4.4%
- 6M +4.8% Buy & hold +7.6% Excess -2.8%
- 3M -4.6% Buy & hold -8.4% Excess +3.8%
- 1M -0.4% Buy & hold -3.7% Excess +3.3%
Crude
ShortLast · 5 bars since last turn
- 2Y +81.4% Buy & hold +92.9% Excess -11.5%
- 1Y +42.4% Buy & hold +113.5% Excess -71.1%
- 6M +14.3% Buy & hold +66.3% Excess -52.0%
- 3M +33.1% Buy & hold +47.2% Excess -14.1%
- 1M +21.2% Buy & hold +26.6% Excess -5.4%
Gold
LongLast · 46 bars since last turn
- 2Y +47.6% Buy & hold +111.8% Excess -64.2%
- 1Y +14.7% Buy & hold +49.6% Excess -34.9%
- 6M -10.8% Buy & hold -8.9% Excess -1.9%
- 3M -1.8% Buy & hold +1.1% Excess -2.9%
- 1M -3.4% Buy & hold -3.4% Excess 0.0%
Euro
LongLast · 8 bars since last turn
- 2Y +6.9% Buy & hold +3.4% Excess +3.5%
- 1Y -1.1% Buy & hold -2.0% Excess +0.9%
- 6M -0.5% Buy & hold -0.2% Excess -0.3%
- 3M -1.1% Buy & hold -0.6% Excess -0.5%
- 1M -0.5% Buy & hold -0.1% Excess -0.4%
Continuous futures (roll gaps spliced out). Next-bar fill. A sell is an exit to cash, not a short. Session sample is as long as the 180-minute feed allows (about two years). No costs. Not a live account.
What Trident is
Trident is named for the futures that sit on this desk’s chain: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (duration, including the AI multiple), WTI (the barrel), gold (the real-rate check), and euro FX (dollar and liquidity). The same unpublished overlay is read on all six so a split is visible. We publish stance and a sample track versus buy-and-hold, out to about two years — as far as the 180-minute feed goes. Lookback, thresholds, and the oscillator itself stay on the desk.
The card chart is price, not the overlay. Dates sit on the x-axis; last print sits on the y-axis. Open a prong for a longer window. If the last turn was many bars ago, the tape should look boring. Boring is information. Most visitors should leave without trading.
Thesis
If crude’s Trident prong confirms a Strait column, or the Dow prong rolls while AI headlines stay euphoric, that is the check. The next note is a test of the last one.
CSV / API for the household tape
Operators who need the household series can still license a documented CSV, webhook, or research API. That product is not Trident, and it is not a promised Sharpe.
- No execution, brokerage, or guaranteed edge.
- If the futures feed dies, we show the last cache and say so.
- Most visitors should leave without trading. Quiet prongs are information.