Now Overheating 3M Overheating 6M Late cycle 1Y Late cycle CPI 3.4% +0.1 CPI energy 16.1% +1.6 PPI 5.4% +0.6 Michigan 4.2 -0.4 Jobless 4.1 0.0 Philly Fed 47.4 +6.0
WTI 103.43 +3.4 US 10Y 4.979 +0.0 S&P 500 7609.25 -50.2 Nasdaq 100 29060.0 -327.0 Gold 4317.0 -49.2 Dow 52800.0 +215.0 Trident Dow LONG 52798.0 Trident S&P 500 LONG 7609.25 Trident Nasdaq 100 LONG 29060.0 Trident Crude SHORT 103.43 Trident Gold LONG 4317.0 Trident Euro LONG 1.1582
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Trident

Crude

WTI. Trident overlay. · 2026-09-14 15:00 UTC

Last 103.43

Short

6 bars since last turn

Sample total +48.3% Buy & hold +92.2%
Excess -43.9%
CAGR +22.1% Buy & hold +39.3%
Time in 99.3%
Closed turns 59 Win rate 49.2%
Max pullback -49.2%

Continuous last. UTC on the x-axis, price on the y-axis.

60.0080.00100.024-09-2425-03-2525-09-2226-03-1726-09-14PriceUTC

Trident (green) vs holding the contract (grey). Index starts at 100.

TridentBuy & hold100.0150.0200.024-09-2425-03-2525-09-2226-03-1726-09-14IndexUTC

Continuous futures (roll gaps spliced out). Next-bar fill. Long and short. Session sample is as long as the 180-minute feed allows (about two years). No costs. Not a live account.

Trade history

  1. 2026-09-11 06:00 UTC · Open Short in 99.84 -3.6%
  2. 2026-08-13 15:00 UTC Long in 81.81 +22.0%
  3. 2026-08-11 09:00 UTC Short in 82.16 +0.4%
  4. 2026-07-31 09:00 UTC Long in 84.86 +8.8%
  5. 2026-07-22 03:00 UTC Short in 85.14 -5.2%
  6. 2026-07-13 18:00 UTC Long in 78.0 +9.2%
  7. 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC Short in 74.08 -1.1%
  8. 2026-05-22 00:00 UTC Long in 97.47 -17.4%
  9. 2026-05-18 18:00 UTC Short in 102.45 -0.1%
  10. 2026-04-28 15:00 UTC Long in 100.24 -4.0%
  11. 2026-04-22 03:00 UTC Short in 88.76 -12.9%
  12. 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC Long in 109.76 -2.5%
  13. 2026-03-27 00:00 UTC Short in 93.4 -16.4%
  14. 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC Long in 66.3 +17.5%
  15. 2026-02-23 00:00 UTC Short in 65.89 -0.6%
  16. 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC Long in 64.3 +2.5%
  17. 2026-01-29 15:00 UTC Short in 65.5 -3.4%
  18. 2026-01-22 00:00 UTC Long in 60.74 +7.8%
  19. 2026-01-12 09:00 UTC Short in 58.6 -3.7%
  20. 2026-01-07 09:00 UTC Long in 56.84 +3.1%
  21. 2026-01-06 12:00 UTC Short in 58.13 +2.2%
  22. 2025-12-31 12:00 UTC Long in 58.25 -0.2%
  23. 2025-12-22 21:00 UTC Short in 57.88 -0.6%
  24. 2025-12-02 15:00 UTC Long in 58.91 -1.7%
  25. 2025-11-26 00:00 UTC Short in 58.18 -1.3%
  26. 2025-10-28 00:00 UTC Long in 61.29 -5.1%
  27. 2025-10-23 03:00 UTC Short in 60.88 -0.7%
  28. 2025-10-06 15:00 UTC Long in 61.74 -1.4%
  29. 2025-09-24 18:00 UTC Short in 64.81 +4.7%
  30. 2025-08-12 12:00 UTC Long in 63.57 +2.0%
  31. 2025-07-31 03:00 UTC Short in 69.99 +9.2%
  32. 2025-07-23 12:00 UTC Long in 64.9 +7.8%
  33. 2025-07-18 12:00 UTC Short in 68.48 +5.2%
  34. 2025-06-20 15:00 UTC Long in 75.52 -4.5%
  35. 2025-06-20 00:00 UTC Short in 75.67 +0.2%
  36. 2025-06-17 18:00 UTC Long in 75.49 +0.2%
  37. 2025-06-10 15:00 UTC Short in 65.23 -5.9%
  38. 2025-05-28 12:00 UTC Long in 61.67 +5.8%
  39. 2025-05-27 00:00 UTC Short in 61.35 -0.5%
  40. 2025-05-26 00:00 UTC Long in 61.54 -0.3%
  41. 2025-05-20 00:00 UTC Short in 62.66 +1.8%
  42. 2025-05-13 09:00 UTC Long in 62.7 -0.1%
  43. 2025-05-12 15:00 UTC Short in 62.14 -0.9%
  44. 2025-04-28 00:00 UTC Long in 62.9 +3.1%
  45. 2025-04-21 06:00 UTC Short in 63.24 +0.5%
  46. 2025-02-17 03:00 UTC Long in 70.74 -8.0%
  47. 2025-02-11 15:00 UTC Short in 73.2 +3.4%
  48. 2025-01-23 09:00 UTC Long in 75.8 -3.4%
  49. 2025-01-16 03:00 UTC Short in 80.1 +5.4%
  50. 2024-12-19 09:00 UTC Long in 70.42 +13.7%
  51. 2024-12-12 09:00 UTC Short in 70.45 0.0%
  52. 2024-11-22 12:00 UTC Long in 70.64 -0.3%
  53. 2024-11-21 12:00 UTC Short in 69.95 -1.0%
  54. 2024-11-14 03:00 UTC Long in 67.97 +2.9%
  55. 2024-11-06 18:00 UTC Short in 71.9 +5.5%
  56. 2024-10-28 12:00 UTC Long in 68.13 +5.5%
  57. 2024-10-24 03:00 UTC Short in 71.58 +0.7%
  58. 2024-10-09 15:00 UTC Long in 73.19 -2.2%
  59. 2024-10-08 00:00 UTC Short in 75.81 +3.5%
  60. 2024-09-30 03:00 UTC Long in 69.1 +5.1%

The curve is the downloaded session sample, marked to market, including the open turn. Long and short stay in the market.

All prongs